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Part One · Quantum computing

The state of quantum computing in 2026

Classical computers store information as bits — 0 or 1. Quantum computers use qubits, which can exist in a superposition of both states at once and can be entangled with one another so their states become correlated regardless of distance. That difference doesn't make quantum computers faster at everything — it makes them differently suited to a narrow but important set of problem structures, described below.

The state of the field, 2026

Quantum computing remains a small, fast-growing, pre-commercial industry. The gap between hardware headlines and deployed business value is still wide — but both the funding and the technical benchmarks are moving quickly.

  • 30%Projected annual growth of the quantum computing market through 2028, reaching roughly $3BSource: QED-C
  • $56.7BCumulative government commitments to quantum technology worldwide to dateSource: Industry tracking, 2026
  • $4.9BCumulative venture capital deployed into quantum computing startupsSource: Industry tracking, 2026
  • $250BEstimated long-run market ceiling across pharma, finance, logistics & materials scienceSource: Bain & Company
  • 6 of 1,151+Companies in the sector with independently verified logical qubits, as of March 2026Source: Industry ecosystem tracking
  • 99.88%Two-qubit gate fidelity reported for Google's superconducting Willow chipSource: Google Quantum AI
  • 75%Share of quantum job applicants reported to lack the required technical skillsSource: Industry workforce reporting, 2026
  • 10,000+Projected shortage of quantum-skilled roles industry-wideSource: Industry workforce reporting, 2026